US Election stuff
So up until the Election, I'm gonna make a prediction each week and post them each Sunday. I actually started making them last week. If you're wondering where I get my information from, it's mostly Let's Talk Elections on YouTube and FiveThirtyEight. However, I do also look at other sources on YouTube. I don't really look at any other sites though because I don't know what other sites to look at. There are also a couple of people I avoid watching because their predictions are just too different from the majority.
Here's last week's:
Here's this week's:(made it yesterday) (Also switched from Race to 270 to YAPms)
Changes:
-Nevada moves from Likely D to Lean D
-Florida moves from Tilt R to Tilt D (this is bound to go back and forth, I can't make up my mind)
-Ohio moves from Lean R to Tilt R
-New Hampshire moves from Lean D to Likely D
Now, I think North Carolina will be the closest state but I don't really know.
Oh, also, I use the similar margins to LTE. The only difference is the tilt margin.
Tilt-Less than 2% (Color Examples: Georgia & North Carolina)
Lean-2-5% (Color Examples: Arizona & Texas)
Likely-5-15% (Color Examples: Indiana & Michigan)
Safe-Over 15% (Color Examples: Oregon & Idaho)
I'll keep posting them every week until the election
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